As efforts to contain the COVID-19 virus continue in every country in the world, Acclimatise would like to take this opportunity to inform you of the measures it is taking to protect its staff and ensure the continuity of its operations.
Acclimatise is a global business, with staff on three continents and active projects in countries around the world. The safety and health of our staff, partners and clients remain the company’s number one priority.
We are actively monitoring advice from the UK government, and the World Health Organization (WHO) to establish our health and security measures. We are closely monitoring official sources of information to make adjustments as needed.
Acclimatise offices are now closed until further notice. We have made provisions for all of our staff to continue to work from home, to ensure the minimum possible disruption to our activities.
Regarding travel, Acclimatise has suspended all international and national travel until further notice. Employees who have travelled abroad recently for personal or professional reasons have been asked to quarantine themselves. Acclimatise staff will not participate in in-person events, meetings or gatherings until further notice. Staff will be able to arrange meetings online using digital conferencing facilities.
These are unprecedented times, however, Acclimatise will continue its work for its clients. Acclimatise project managers are, as always, available to discuss any issues with clients relating to COVID-19 or any other projected-related matter at any time.
Finally, Acclimatise staff would like to express their solidarity with clients, partners and colleagues around the world at this time, and hope that they and their loved ones remain safe and well in the coming months.
What is love? Mother Teresa is quoted as saying “Justice
without love is not justice, and love without justice is not love”. If this is
true, without climate justice can humanity claim to be loving in an era of
climate change?
The term ‘climate justice’ itself is not neutral. It is
often associated with liberal, or left-wing politics, and the narrative
connection has Abrahamic overtones which may be off-putting for some audiences.
For some, it has become more of a protest slogan than an empowering approach to
tackling the climate crisis. For others, the climate justice movement is, like
Mother Teresa’s quote, all about love. In this sense the twin ideas of love and
justice exist in the relationships between people and the actions that they
take.
In the academic literature, ‘climate justice’ has a variety
of definitions. Philosophers have examined different approaches to just climate
change solutions for current generations, future generations, plant and animal
life, the distribution of burdens and opportunities, and the morality of
contributing to climate change and its solutions, and many more. The common
theme, however, is that climate change is causing harm, and that this should be
acted upon.
As climate change has been caused by people’s activities, it
can be said that human actions have caused harm. But identifying which specific
humans are responsible for this harm is complicated. It is impossible to say
which person’s emissions from ten years ago caused the crop damage in another
country this summer, for instance. We do know that some countries have
contributed greater emissions than others, so it may be fair to say that they
share more of the responsibility for causing harm.
Indeed, the people that are likely to suffer the worst
impacts of climate change are those who have contributed least to it. Some
suggest, therefore, that compensation should be paid. This gives rise to a
panoply of difficult questions: Who pays the compensation? Are there limits on
what the compensation will cover? How much compensation is enough, particularly
when people are losing their homes, their livelihoods, and loved ones to rising
seas, raging storms, and unbearable droughts? At what point did people become
morally responsible for the harm they were causing? What agency did individuals
have to affect the collective and prevent the harm? To whom should the
compensation be paid? A lot of these people are yet to be born and many of the
people who contributed to the harm have already died.
Even the very fundamental questions are difficult to answer
when it comes to climate justice: What would be considered a ‘just outcome’?
1.5 degrees of warming, or 2? Or none? Does it matter how this is achieved?
With all of these unknowns how is climate justice attainable or even useful as a concept?
Maybe the answer, as Mother Teresa suggests, is to ‘do love’. If love requires a relationship, then justice is to be done in relationship. ‘Achieving justice’ often makes it sound like justice is about an end outcome. ‘Achieving love’, however, is about a reaching a point in a relationship where all the actions are loving – the end point here is defined by the actions in the relationship.
You don’t say you have achieved love only when there are 64
pairs of earrings that have been given, and 102 romantic meals achieved. That’s
a very transactional way of looking at love (and would probably deem a lot of
loving relationships void!). Whilst giving gifts may be an aspect of showing
love and something one does to express love towards another, it is not the sole
definition of love. So, saying that justice had been done-and-dusted when a
certain amount of compensation has been paid also seems bizarre. Compensation
may be a valid and important aspect of justice, but compensation does not
necessarily mean that the issues that led to that situation have been
addressed. By understanding climate justice as a ‘relationship status’ – a
description of how the actions are in a relationship – rather than just an end
outcome, it helps to reveal what’s at the heart of injustices. In this way, we
may be able to navigate some of the problems of climate justice without having
to knowing about the exact ‘who’ or ‘what’.
By thinking about climate justice in this way, we can begin to talk about procedural justice and the way in which we can develop climate-just relationships – not only transactional checks and balances. Relational climate justice can provide a way of valuing things that are impossible to monetise (like people losing their homes and communities), and think about approaches to actions with people that don’t even exist yet (like how we use resources today that impact upon future generations). In this way, we can move away from the cumbersome conversations about climate justice as a transactional approach solely focussed on achieving a particular end point. Instead, climate justice can be doing love, and love is about how we relate to one another and the earth.
2019 was the year that the conversation changed on climate
change.
The Media and Climate Change Observatory’s analysis showed that across the one hundred newspaper sources, coverage of climate change was up 73% in 2019 compared to 2018, global radio coverage was up 74%, and in the UK and Germany, coverage more than doubled, and the US television coverage increased by 138%.
Figure 1: Newspaper media coverage of climate change or global warming in one hundred sources in seven different regions of around the world, from January 2004 to December 2019.
In a YouGov survey commissioned by the CAST Centre in August 2019, 62% of the UK public said that addressing climate change requires a ‘high’ or ‘extremely high’ level of urgency, with 48% saying they had grown more worried about climate change over the past 12 months.
Figure 2: YouGov survey results of 2000 respondents’ view on the urgency of acting on climate change.
In the lead up to the 2017 general election, only 8% of the
British public considered the environment
to be one of the top three important issues, yet in another YouGov survey on
issues defining the 2019 UK general election, 25% of Brits put it in their top
three, making the environment the 4th most important issue, and
neck-and-neck with the economy.
Figure 3: Comparison of 2017 and 2019 YouGov survey results when asking the UK public about opinions on the top three important issues facing the country.
And in 2020, we saw another change in how climate change is talked about.
On the 24th of January, the UK House of Commons launches its citizen assembly on climate change, which will run for four weekends. Unhampered by political rivalries and conflicts of interest, the hope is that ordinary members of the public will meet and form a consensus on how to take action on climate change – succeeding where the politicians have failed. Of the 30,000 people that were invited to participate, only 110 will actually take part, but will form a demographically representative picture of the UK. They will be asked for their thoughts on how the UK should respond to declaring a climate emergency, and what policies should be implemented to meet the net-zero by 2050 target. Many local governments across the UK are hoping to follow suit with councils in Oxford, Bristol, Lincoln, Norwich, Lancaster, Brighton and Hove, and Surrey County Council, to just name a few.
The French government are also holding a citizen’s assembly
but equipping them with more bite, having been promised the ability to set
France’s policies on cutting carbon emissions by presenting their “unfiltered”
proposals to parliament. Chosen at
random, 150 people will meet over seven weekends to discuss issues ranging from
plastics and fast fashion, to transport and housing, and to come up with real
policy answers to these difficult questions.
Whilst these curated citizen conversations are a radical move with the potential to jump-start action on climate change, they unfortunately don’t necessarily guarantee political action. Even the French approach promising an unedited hearing of the policy proposals, does not guarantee they will pass parliament’s vote. Therefore, it is crucial that we do not just limit climate conversation to citizen assemblies in 2020. The conversations that follow these assemblies, and how well their outcomes are communicated will be vital for ensuring that engagement continues, and for governments to enact the policies needed. Those of us not part of the ‘chosen few’ do not lose our voice either, and can feed into the ongoing conversation and creation of policy options, as well as influencing the context that these citizen assemblies take place. Highly profiled and valued for being representative, the outcomes from the citizen assemblies should be taken seriously and can be a powerful tool in demonstrating a consensus for change. We need to be ready to use the outcomes of these conversations as a way of holding elected decision makers accountable and demonstrating that in a world of uncertainty about climate change and its impacts, the public are certain about taking action, and taking it now.
Our second article of top picks from our 2019 article
archive, features six articles related to climate adaptation and the legal
services sector. As climate change and its impacts become increasingly
transparent, so has a rise in litigation and the emergence of climate-specific
national legislation and policies. With
exposure to legal liability an almost certainty resulting from a failure to
understand, disclose and manage climate risk, it is vital to look ahead in an
effort to reduce legal liabilities in a changing climate.
Climate risk disclosures remain a firm part of the voluntary disclosure landscape, due largely in part to the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) recommendations. In fact, recent analysis from accounting literature finds that firms following best practice through TCFD-style scenario-analysis and disclosures stand to benefit from minimising liability risk. Over the next decade, Acclimatise will continue to work on physical climate risk and adaptation with corporates and financial institutions helping them to identify and respond to physical risks.
Update to landmark legal opinion highlights growing
climate liability of company directors
By Robin Hamaker-Taylor and Nadine Coudel
The 2016 Hutley opinion set out the ways that company
directors who do not properly manage climate risk could be held liable for
breaching their legal duty of due care and diligence. An update by the Centre
for Policy Development reinforces and strengthens the original opinion by
highlighting the financial and economic significance of climate change and the
resulting risks.
Climate change could lead to great wave of legal
liability
By Nadine Coudel and Dr Richard Bater
New International law governing
the transition to a low-carbon society and responses to climate risk is driving
a rapid rise in climate-specific national legislation and policies, and an
increasing amount of litigation. For companies, governments and other
organisations these developments provide clear impetus to understand, disclose
and manage climate risk. Failure to do so will increase exposure to legal
liability.
Climate and law: Sarah Barker, Special Counsel and Head
of Climate Risk Governance at MinterEllison
By Will Bugler
In this Acclimatise Conversation on Climate Change
Adaptation, Sarah Barker, Special Counsel and Head of Climate Risk Governance
at MinterEllison, talks us through why it is so important, from a legal
perspective, for businesses to govern for the financial risks associated with
climate change.
Read the full article and listen to the podcast here.
Podcast: Global law firm Clyde & Co warns clients of
a ‘wave of litigation’ from climate change
By Acclimatise News
In this Acclimatise Conversation on Climate Change
Adaptation, we speak with Clyde and Co lawyers Wynne Lawrence and Nigel Brook,
about the emerging field of climate liability risk and the pioneering works
that the firm is doing to advise its clients about how to respond.
Read the full article and listen to the podcast here.
Podcast: Legal implications of climate change are a big
deal for corporates says legal analyst Marcela Scarpellini
By Acclimatise News
In this Accliamtise Conversation on Climate Change
Adaptation, we speak with Marcella Scarpellini, a lawyer and legal analyst at
right.based on science, a climate metrics and data services provider that is
helping companies manage the financial risks of climate change. Here she
discusses why legal implications of climate change are a big deal for
corporates.
Voluntary climate disclosures can reduce litigation risk
By Robin Hamaker-Taylor, Richard Bater, Nadine Coudel
With climate risk disclosures now a crucial part of the
voluntary disclosure activities of many corporates and financial institutions, questions
around the extent to which they may leave disclosures exposed to litigation
linger. Recent analysis from the accounting literature indicates that voluntary
disclosures can actually lead to reduced litigation risk.
In this Acclimatise Conversation on Climate Change Adaptation, we speak with Clyde & Co lawyers Wynne Lawrence and Nigel Brook, about the emerging field of climate liability risk and the pioneering work that the firm is doing to advise its clients about how to respond.
In September 2015 the Governor of the Bank of England, Mark
Carney, gave his seminal ‘Tragedy of the Horizon’s’ speech, to the insurance
market at Lloyd’s of London. In it, he highlighted the severe threats posed by
climate change to the financial system and warned the problem risked being
ignored because of institutional near-sightedness.
“The classic problem in environmental economics is
the ‘tragedy of the commons’… but climate change is a tragedy of the horizon,”
Carney said, “We don’t need an army of actuaries to tell us that the
catastrophic impacts of climate change will be felt beyond the traditional
horizons of most actors. It will impose costs on future generations that the
current one has little direct incentive to fix.”
The horizon for monetary policy goes out just a couple of
years, and financial stability only about a decade. Carney went on to outline
the three main ways in which climate change can affect financial stability:
Physical risks like storms and floods;
Transition risks associated with the transition
to a low carbon economy; and
Liability risks, legal claims by those suffering
losses due to climate change.
Much of the attention since then has been on the first two
categories, the physical and transition risks, but a growing number of lawyers
and pioneering legal firms are drawing attention to the third category, the
liability risks.
Their work has been reinforced by a growing number of international regulations and national laws and a growing body of case law. One such firm is Clyde & Co, a global firm that focusses on five key sectors: insurance, energy, trade and commodities, infrastructure and transport. The firm soon realised that climate change posed risks to all of these sectors, and so they set up a cross-disciplinary team on climate resilience. Listen to the full podcast to learn more.
As part of London Climate Action Week,
law firm Clyde & Co. hosted an event on 5th July, which is
indicative of the growing interest and understanding of climate-related
liability risks. While the first ever London Climate Action Week saw around 200
events relating to a wide range of aspects of climate change and action to
address it, the Clyde & Co. event was one of just a few relating to the legal
dimensions of a changing climate. Titled, ‘Climate Change Liability Risk
Conference’ the engaging event was well attended by company representatives
across various industry sectors, members of the financial services and legal
sectors among others.
The event coincided with the
release of a new Clyde & Co. report, the third of a report series focusing
on climate-related legal risks:
Climate change: Liability risks, a rising tide of litigation‘ explores the liability risks that organisations have faced and continue to face as plaintiffs attempt to use the courts to further their cause or sue for damages. The report provides a broad overview of the evolving litigation risk landscape arising from the effects of climate change, identifying some of the key themes, controversies and legal hurdles.
The third report, titled ‘Climate change: Liability risks for businesses, directors and officers – the coming wave of litigation’ delineates some examples of the physical and transition risks climate change poses to businesses across various sectors, explores the current sources of black letter and “soft” law, regulation and standards relating to climate change, surveys the current litigation landscape and indicates where liability risks could arise in the near future and discusses some high-level opportunities for businesses.
Acclimatise’s Nadine Coudel, John Firth and Dr Richard Bater were part of the external reviewer group for these reports the second and third Clyde & Co. reports, which were featured during he the Climate Change Liability Risk Conference. The event itself was divided into two main sessions: firstly, each of the three main categories of climate risks (physical, transition, liability) were explored with experts from each of these fields. Then in the second part of the discussion, the practical implications of climate risks for businesses, directors, and officers were addressed by a set of expert panels. Acclimatise’s Chief Technology Officer and co-founder Dr Richenda Connell sat on one of the panels.
The event highlighted many
important emerging liability risks associated with the effects of climate
change. Significant takeaways from the day are summarised below.
Liability risksgrow as
the climate continues to change
Presentations from experts in the
physical climate science and emerging policies and technologies kicked off the
event. Important background information around the physical and transition
risks associated with a changing climate was shared, serving as a stark reminder
of the scale of the challenge at hand.
Set against the incontrovertible
evidence of a climate system where fundamental and severe changes are already
underway, partners from Clyde & Co.’s offices in Sydney, New York, and
London discussed the overall trends regarding climate-related litigation,
regulation and standard setting. The number of climate-related litigation cases
is on the rise: there are currently more than 1000 pieces of climate
litigation, including federal statutory claims, over 300 state law claims, and
69 adaptation-related claims. The U.S., Germany, and Australia are currently
where most activity can be found on climate litigation.
The legal basis of claims includes public or private nuisance, product liability, or negligence. The fossil fuel industry, for example, is particularly exposed to liability risk as courts consider whether leading firms have done enough to enable the transition to a low carbon economy, in the face of evidence that the product that they are selling does harm.
The assertions at the event that there has been an increase in climate litigation are reinforced by analysis by Acclimatise, showing that there is simultaneously an increase in national legislation – translating countries’ commitments set out in their NDCs under the Paris Agreement into national laws and policies. Liability risks look to increase and advance in the future, as panellists suggested attribution science, supervisory or regulatory scrutiny, and investor interest, to name just a few.
Climate-related legal risks
stemming from physical risks
In the expert panel, ‘Indirect
exposures – the sleeping giant of liability risks to corporations’ the
discussion turned to the known and potential liabilities businesses, directors,
and officers are facing stemming from both physical and transition climate
risks. Dr Richenda Connell, made several salient points about climate-related
legal risks stemming from physical risks and climate adaptation that corporates
may not be immediately aware of, including the following:
For corporates with long-lived fixed assets, physical climate risk and adaptation is a relevant consideration at many stages in the asset lifecycle – from early concept, to site selection, design, construction, operation and through to decommissioning. But in many cases is not yet being considered. Existing physical assets may already have embedded risk and liabilities if physical climate risk was not taken into account;
Public-private-partnership (PPP) contracts are another area. These contracts are typically long term (ca. 20 years) and inflexible. A changing climate can stress the risk-sharing contractual obligations of all parties in a PPP. PPP contracts have provisions for unforeseen risks in “force majeure” clauses, for example. But today’s extreme weather events will be tomorrow’s new normal. Force majeure clauses do not adequately capture changing climate risks. Acclimatise produced a report with the World Bank which discusses these challenges in the management of climate risks in infrastructure PPPs; and
Contractual relationships in supply chains is another area. Supply chain disruption is relevant to many corporate sectors. The Thailand floods in 2011 showed how climate impacts in one part of the world can affect customers globally. Similar issues are relevant for supply chains reliant on agriculture, which is a particularly climate-sensitive sector. Contractual relationships for all actors in the supply chain, up to commodity traders, will be increasing stressed by a changing climate.
The direction of travel for
businesses, directors, and officers is clear
A growing number of organisations
have taken action on transition risks and have started to actively engage with
physical climate risks, albeit to a lesser extent. Yet, interest and action
relating to climate-related liability risks is still in nascent stages, so this
Clyde & Co. event was a welcome addition to the wider progress on climate
risks. In fact, the event signals the growing awareness of the legal dimensions
of climate change. The direction of travel was made clear during the event:
climate change is now a ‘c-suite’ issue and along with that comes liability to
engage with the issue.
As Acclimatise hasrecently written, company directors must not only adopt an enquiring posture toward their firm’s contribution to, and vulnerability to, climate change, but manage and disclose climate risks they face in a robust and transparent fashion.
Climate change and its impacts cause hundreds of billions of
dollars of damage each year. As the scale of losses increases, so too will the
number of legal cases apportioning blame to those most responsible. There have
already been over one thousand litigation cases related to climate change, a
number that is expected to rise dramatically as climate change continues, and
legislation and regulations increase. However, there is another factor driving
the number of legal cases: advances in climate science and the tools to
interpret it.
When it comes to litigation, it is important to be able to
identify some sort of loss, and also attribute that loss to the actions, or
non-actions, of a legal entity. In the past it has been difficult to apportion
blame for climate change impacts to individual companies or governments. It has
also been difficult to argue that their failure to act to build resilience to
climate change constitutes negligence that has led to a specific loss. However,
as the science of climate change advances, a new suite of tools is changing all
of this.
In this interview we speak with Marcella Scarpellini, a lawyer and legal analyst at right. based on science, a climate metrics and data services provider that is helping companies manage the financial risk of climate change. The company has developed its X-Degree Compatibility (“XDC”) tool, a science-based climate metric that estimates how many °C the Earth would warm by 2050 if all companies were to operate as emissions-intensively as the company under consideration.
The XDC tool can be used by companies, investors,
governments or others who want to better understand their contribution to
climate change, and gauge how to best respond. It is also useful for lawyers to
hold companies and governments to account, showing whether they are
contributing to a wold of 1.5˚C and in line with the Paris Agreement or a much
hotter world where climate damages will be significantly higher.
“For corporates [climate change] is going to be big” Marcella said “As climate change increases the search for culprits is also going to increase… we know that there is causality between emissions and climate change, so people are going to start pointing fingers. I think for companies it will be in the forms of fines and penalties, of course litigation, and even class action damages are expected.”
As climate change and its impacts become increasingly
apparent, the legal landscape surrounding our collective response is also
evolving at pace. New International law governing the transition to a
low-carbon society and responses to climate risk is driving a rapid rise in
climate-specific national legislation and policies, and an increasing amount of
litigation. For companies, governments and other organisations these
developments provide clear impetus to understand, disclose and manage climate
risk. Failure to do so will increase exposure to legal liability. So, what is
the state of play today with regards to the legal aspects of climate change?
And what should the response be?
International climate change law
In response to the global challenge of climate change, states have established an international climate regime whose treaties (the 1992 United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, the 1997 Kyoto Protocol and the 2015 Paris Agreement) created a system of climate governance. With the adoption of the latest global legal framework in Paris in December 2015, a post-2020 international climate regime was agreed on by the Contracting Parties to the UNFCCC. The Paris Agreement builds upon the Convention and – for the first time – brings all nations into a common cause to undertake efforts to combat climate change and adapt to its adverse impacts. Countries committed to holding the global average temperature rise to well below 2 degrees C, pursue efforts to limit the increase to 1.5 degrees C, and achieve net-zero emissions in the second half of this century.
Nationally determined contributions (NDCs) are at the heart of the Paris Agreement and embody efforts by each country to reduce national emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change in order to achieve these long-term goals. Implementing the Paris Agreement also relies on translating countries’ commitments set out in their NDCs – that is, their post-2020 climate actions – into national laws and policies. Analysis undertaken by the Grantham Research Institute in 2018 demonstrates a lack of consistency between NDC commitments and targets in national climate laws and policies. Any delay in translating NDC commitments in nationally legislated targets potentially limits the effective planning and implementation of policies, reduces the ability to address climate challenges, adapt to climate impacts and avoid costly action at a later stage, and overall reduces the ability to track progress and hold countries accountable for their pledges.
However, the Paris Agreement has and will continue to lead to increasing climate change legislation and litigation as nations grapple with meeting the goals set-out in the agreement.
The rise of climate law. Credit: Anandita Bishnoi. Copyright: Acclimatise.
Legislation
Partly driven by the UNFCCC process, the volume of climate-specific legislation and policies has increased twenty-fold during the past two decades. According to the Grantham Institute, all 197 signatories of the Paris Agreement have at least one law or policy on climate change. This legislation can be roughly classified into mitigation-related and adaptation-related legislation. The former sets a country’s low-carbon transition plans in a legal framework (e.g. carbon markets), whilst the latter codifies standards or duties regarding how organisations adapt to the physical impacts of climate change. Laws relating to either type may be developed at the national or sub-national levels, and can also be targeted at specifics sectors. According to Columbia University’s Climate Case Law database, by 2018 there had been 1522 climate-related laws and policies enacted globally, of which 489 were related to climate adaptation. A total of 282 laws have come into force since the Paris Agreement, of which 109 are adaptation related.
Laws such as the UK’s Climate Change Act (2008) or France’s Article 173 place duties on Governments or corporates to advance the transition to a low-carbon economy or manage physical risks to assets and risks latent in portfolios. By placing clear duties and responsibilities on Government in respect of climate change, such laws have transversal implications for what activities are permitted to take place and where ultimately having economy-wide ramifications. Whilst such legislation can preclude much litigation, such as by clearly establishing ‘reasonable person’ expectations, it can also be a driver of litigation where the law remains ambiguous or where a state is alleged to have failed in its own duties.
The introduction of climate-related laws, regulation, and policy is dramatically shifting the compliance, disclosure, and due diligence landscape. However, climate law represents only one angle of the implications of climate change for legislation. As Alice Garton has succinctly noted, “It’s not the laws that need to evolve, it’s the understanding [of companies and investors] of how laws apply to new risks”.
First, it is increasingly recognised that the management of
climate-related risk falls within existing company law in many commonwealth
jurisdictions. Likewise, the duties that Directors, fiduciaries, officers, and
professionals are under regarding their responsibilities regarding climate risk
are also contained within existing law. In neither case would climate change
have been a consideration when laws were drafted, but in both cases the law is
deliberately flexible in order to accommodate an evolving environment and
standards of practice.
Second, the physical
impacts of climate change can raise implications for compliance with existing
laws and regulations across a host of areas, from health and safety (e.g.
worker exposure to heat), the environment (e.g. permissible discharges), construction
(e.g. building design) to corporate disclosure (e.g. the Martin Act). In all
cases, the physical impacts of a changing climate can give rise to liability
risks in connection with existing obligations that may have been considered to
be managed.
Developments in hard and soft law continue across jurisdictions also. In the United States, a proposed Climate Change Disclosures Act would require companies to disclose climate risks to assets to the Security and Exchange Commission. In the EU context, there are proposals to strengthen climate risk disclosure requirements in existing pensions regulations, laying the groundwork for possible future sustainable finance regulations. At the same time, driven by the recommendations of the Task force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD), banking regulators are placing increasing pressure on financial institutions to manage and disclose climate-related financial risks.
Litigation
Most climate-related litigation to date has been
brought in the United States, with 761 cases reported by the end of 2017. Of these,
41 cases were connected with climate adaptation. According to the Climate Law
Database, by the end of 2018, 280 cases had been brought outside the US, of
which 14 related to adaptation; the majority of which was in the U.K.
There has been a marked increase in the volume of climate litigation, notably
outside the U.S.
Mis-representation, infringement of rights,
mis-sold or faulty goods and services, and failure to prevent harm are all
major potential causes for litigation.
The key drivers for climate change litigation are:
1.Climate change as a rights-based
issue: cases where governments fail to
act to protect their citizens from the impacts of climate.
Requiring governments or regulators to take action to meet national or international commitments challenging climate change-related legislation and policies, or their application. In Leghariv v. Republic of Pakistan, the plaintiff successfully sued the government on grounds that its failure to adequately implement the country’s National Climate Change Policy offended his fundamental rights.
2. Climate
change as a financial issue (raising awareness and exerting pressure
on corporate actors, regulators or investors)
‘Failure to mitigate’: cases that link the impacts of fossil fuel extraction to climate change and resilience by seeking to establish that an organisation’s emissions are the proximate cause of adverse climate change impacts. Several cases, brought by industries and municipalities against oil majors (e.g. Kivalina v. ExxonMobil Corp.), aim to limit future emissions of large emitters. Residents of an Alaskan island facing extreme erosion and other impacts have claimed damages from energy companies, arguing that the new and extreme weather patterns are attributable to changes driven by the defendants’ actions. Similarly, litigation has been brought in the US by cities and states against oil majors seeking compensation for the costs of adapting to climate change. Of all these types of cases, it has been asserted that ‘failure to prevent’ litigation against public bodies could be the most likely to succeed.
‘Failure to adapt’: cases that seek to establish liability for failure take adequate steps to adapt to climate change. Such claims could be brought against engineers, architects and other professional services for breach of their duty of care should they fail to design structures compatible with future climate conditions.
‘Failure to disclose’: Some organisations have shown reticence in disclosing climate risks in their financial reporting, partly for fear of increasing liability risk. However, Sarah Barker and colleagues have argued that such concerns are misplaced, and suggest that disclosing risks in line with, for instance, the TCFD recommendations will in fact reduce corporates’ and directors’ liability exposure. A key test case, settled out of court, was brought by shareholders in the Commonwealth Bank of Australia in 2017, alleging that the Bank failed to disclose material (climate) risks to investors, as is required by Australia’s Corporations Act (2001). Whether driven by new law, the reinterpretation of existing law or the demands asset owners, the onus is increasingly on companies and Directors to properly disclose climate risk.
3. Enforcement of existing legislation: cases that use existing non-climate related legal frameworks to bring climate-related litigation. The range of potential cases in this category is considerable, from failure to manage liabilities associated with fiduciary and Directors’ duties, to environmental regulations being transgressed owing to failure to adapt business practices to climate-related risks. Cases as diverse as ‘Dieselgate’, that uncovered fraudulent diesel emissions claims by Volkswagen, and Client Earth’s litigation against the British government, for its ‘unlawful’ air quality plans, represent precedents for how companies or governments could be held liable for false claims (e.g. carbon accounting) or failure to implement climate policy. Jurisdictions that widely apply the precautionary principle – such as the EU – could see litigation that tests how that principle applies to explicitly climate-related questions, including permitting, mitigation plans, and adaptation plans. Indeed, the precautionary principle was referred to in the ground-breaking Urgenda case. In the US, California energy utility PG&E is facing litigation for alleged hazardous negligence and breaching safety rules, whilst both the New York ‘Martin Act’ and consumer protection law has been invoked in litigation brought against ExxonMobil. Moreover, in some jurisdictions, litigation can itself precipitate policy. For example, the ‘Endangerment Finding’in the United States, in which greenhouse gases were ruled harmful pollutants under the Clean Air Act, became a key enabler of the Clean Power Plan.
The legal dimensions of climate change. Credit: Anandita Bishnoi. Copyright: Acclimatise.
Looking ahead – reducing legal liabilities in a
changing climate
Uncertainty about the future climate is not a reason for inaction. In fact, trends are already becoming apparent which fundamentally affect the strategic context that businesses will operate in during the coming years. These trends are manifold, and include the domino effect of actions to meet the objectives set-out in the Paris Agreement, which establishes a clear trajectory for how expectations for corporate action; investor diligence on climate-related risks; and the role of state and local authorities with respect to climate mitigation and adaptation will evolve. In broad terms, changing expectations and laws will catalyse shifts in the sectors and activities that are encouraged (or discouraged) and lead to new standards and duties. A changing regulatory landscape, and the effects it has on potential climate change litigation, is already forcing businesses to update their resiliency plans. In addition, judges are dealing more and more with climate-related arguments and facts that were previously not presented before courts.
There has also been progress in climate attribution science in understanding causal links between elements of the earth system and society. Scientific findings make it possible to attribute some extreme events to human-induced climate change and can already enable loss and damage associated with such events to be assigned country-level responsibility. Attribution science is often associated with foreseeability and responsibility, and therefore linked to discussions about liability and compensation. It is conceivable that attribution of climate change to particular ‘wrongdoers’ – such as polluters or emitters – could be placed high on the agenda of the global climate debate. Given the influence of climate-related hazards on displacement of people, this may further stimulate the debate on rights and duties in respect to climate-induced migration.
To date, much climate-related litigation has centred on assessments, permits, and emissions, with public bodies often the defendant. However, the variety of litigation and defendants is broadening, and beginning to affect corporates too. ‘Failure to disclose’, ‘false or misleading disclosure’ (e.g shareholder-led) and ‘failure to adapt’ represent types of litigation likely to be tested ever more in the coming years, particularly until clear legal precedents are established. With increasing documentation of physical impacts of climate change, third-party funded class action suits could finance previously out-of-reach scientific evidence in cases brought by those that experience preventable harm.
Scientific development is accompanied by an increasing demand for ‘climate services’, that translate the existing wealth of climate data and information into customised tools, products and informationin order to understand, manage, and communicate climate-related risks. As such, climate-related scenario analysis will play an increasingly important role with respect to disclosing forward-looking information and potential climate-related risks in order to avoid claims for misleading or fraudulent disclosures.
Company directors must not only adopt an enquiring
posture toward their firm’s contribution to, and vulnerability to, climate
change, but manage and disclose climate risks they face in a robust and
transparent fashion.
Learn more about Acclimatise’s work on climate risk disclosure here.
As climate related damages increase, the need to
allocate funds and apportion blame will inevitably follow. In this context, the
mechanisms used for determining responsibility are likely to become, to say the
least, very creative.
Pressure for proactive climate action and better response
is mounting thanks to legislation and regulation, litigation, shareholder
demands, citizens calling for more action, carbon taxes and concrete mitigation
and adaptation plans.
The status and intent of current regulations relating
to climate change and the legal infrastructure that is expected to support or
deter the transition to a low carbon economy, provide a good indication of the stringency
and certainty of the measures that will follow.
After Bank of England Governor Mark Carney’s famous warning in his 2015 speech regarding the threat climate change posed to our financial systems, financial institutions and governments started to wake up to the issue. This meant paying attention to – and developing an understanding of – how climate risks might play out and affect businesses future profitability and the stability of the wider financial system. In response, the G20’s Financial Stability Board established the Task Force on Climate-Related Disclosures (TCFD).
Point in time:
Disclosure
The TCFD‘s purpose is to provide corporates and financial institutions with a framework for climate risk disclosure in two key respects. First, with regard to the analysis of the physical and transition risks and opportunities they may face due to climate change. Second, with regard to the development of appropriate strategies to respond to the consequences of those risks materialising.
This initiative, which already has 513 official supporters across businesses, advisory firms, and financial institutions, is a voluntary framework. The main political intention behind it – in combination with the EU Directive on Non-Financial Disclosures, EU Shareholders Directive and other upcoming EU financial regulation – is to foster transparency by requiring corporates and financial institutions to disclose information on material impacts of the physical and policy risks (transition risks) connected with climate change.
The TCFD recommendations are just a first step. Increasing
transparency is a means to an end, not an end in itself: boilerplate and vague
disclosures will not cut it. The intention of climate risk disclosures is to
provide legislators with a broad understanding of the current state of
investments and business bets into a certain world, in order to come up with evidence-based
legislation that actually has a chance of reshaping our economies.
In this context, corporates and financial institutions
have started to work out the best ways to generate relevant disclosures. The
first attempts to generate this information using the TCFD framework have been released,
but there is still a long way to go.
Hot topic: scenario
analysis
One of the challenges of applying the TCFD framework
has been the use of scenario analysis. Scenario-analyses
are forward-looking tools intended to allow users to imagine how a range of possible
futures could look, the risks and opportunities entailed in those different
futures and get its users to pin down how their companies would be affected if
any of those futures materialized. The overarching purpose is to enable firms
to develop strategic and resilient business plans to incorporate envisioned or
possible changes.
A concrete way in which companies make use of scenario
analyses is by using them to understand how their capital requirements might be
impacted under a range of plausible scenarios. Using scenario analyses,
companies can peer into the future and build resilient responses to a world in
which extreme events and their financial impacts are no longer sporadic but recurrent.
Scenario analysis is a time and capacity consuming
challenge. Despite this, many companies, particularly within the oil & gas
sector, have been using these tools for some time, and companies in other
sectors are starting to do so too.
Another significant hurdle for companies performing scenario analysis stems from having to disclose the information generated. Many businesses are wary of this since, it is suggested, the information generated by scenario analysis is just hypothetical, which could, in turn, be misconstrued as a fraudulent, deceptive or incorrect disclosure, potentially opening the door to liability exposure. However, in reality, this constitutes a narrow view of the story.
Understanding risk
Properly understood, scenario-analysis is a risk
assessment tool, so the information derived from it is the same in nature as information
relating to other risks that might affect a company. Risks are hypothetical by nature
and gain validity when substantiated through evidence and justification.
What it takes to reduce disclosure-related liabilities
is a thorough and well-presented substantiation of the information provided,
with clear and precautionary wording regarding how this information ought to be
interpreted and construed.
A stream of forward-looking legal experts, within the Commonwealth Climate and Law Initiative, are of the opinion that disclosing forward-looking information in line with the TCFD Recommendations might, on the contrary, reduce liability exposure. Their claim is justified by understanding the core intentions of the TCFD’s recommendations, namely transparency and accountability. Therefore, firms able to demonstrate that they are acting to understand and manage climate risk will be acknowledged for that in the light of corporate responsibilities such as due diligence and good corporate governance. In understanding the purpose of disclosure, firms are allowed to make mistakes, though they are not allowed to be fraudulent, deceptive and manipulative about the future in order to ensure certain business interests.
As more firms get on board with the TCFD recommendations, using them as guidelines for disclosure, it is likely that they become reference points and that national laws start to be interpreted in light of the most advanced practices. In jurisdictions such as the UK, where an objective test applies to determine the extent and manner in which directors have exercised their duty of care and due diligence, this determination is likely to be done on the basis of what others in the industry are doing. If and when TCFD becomes best-practice, this is likely to become the yardstick against which these determinations will be made[1].
Good practice to
reduce liability
Scenario-analysis remains a beneficial tool, despite
the fact that it is still becoming an established best practice and mandated by
law. To reduce firms’ concerns around liability associated with
scenario-analysis, and to encourage them to start using it and disclosing climate
risk information prudently, a series of recommendations follows:
Use proper cautionary language.
Use a variety of scenarios, at least three would be advisable.
Place all scenarios within the same section and under the same fonts in your disclosure as to avoid that any be interpreted as being favoured.
Use multiple sources for data and narratives and seek insights from new sources.
Use current data and justify your choice of providers.
Ensure your scenarios reflect the variance (climate, political, social, regulatory) and are relevant to the entirety of the company´s operations.
Use information derived from scenarios in order to justify likelihood and not infallible certainty.
Not disclosing any forward-looking information under the false pretence that it might make your company liable is a greater risk than disclosing uncertain information.
If you are not sure of how to go about it, hire consulting services to guide you along the way.
Marcela Scarpellini studied law at the Universidad Católica Andrés Bello in Caracas (Venezuela) and has an LL.M. from the University of Stockholm (Sweden) in the field of environmental law. Within right.based on science (“right.”) she works at providing the legal context upon which right.´s X-Degree Compatibility (“XDC”) model and other metrics are developed.
right. based on science is a data provider founded in August 2016, which measures
a single economic entity’s contribution, be that of e.g. a company or a lending
project, to manmade climate change. With a team of experts with backgrounds in
law, science, economics, psychology and mathematics, right. is devoted to the
development of the XDC Model, which calculates science-based climate metrics on
the basis of latest climate research and regulatory requirements, in order to
deduct an entity’s X-Degree Compatibility.
[1] Concerns misplaced: Will compliance with the TCFD recommendations really expose companies and directors to liability risk? Alexia Staker, Alice Garton & Sarah Barker. Commonwealth and climate law initiative.
Senators on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee have introduced a bill designed to increase the U.S governments’ understanding of the relationship between climate change and national Security. Brought forward on the 12th of March, The Climate Security Act of 2019 is wide ranging, examining the economic, environmental, and geopolitical impacts fuelled by climate change.
The Climate Security Act of 2019 was cosponsored by Senators
Ben Cardin (D-Md.); Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.); Chris Coons (D-Del.); Tom Udall
(D-N.M.); Chris Murphy (D-Conn.); Tim Kaine (D-Va.); Ed Markey (D-Mass.); Jeff
Merkley (D-Ore.); Cory Booker (D-N.J.); and Brian Schatz (D-Hawaii).
If adopted, the Act would create a new Climate Security
Envoy within the Department of State. The role would address climate security
vulnerabilities and serve as the primary federal contact for climate security
issues. The Climate Security Envoy would:
Work with climate scientists and security professionals to conduct analysis and risk assessments of the socioeconomic, geopolitical, and security risks associated with climate change.
Design climate security policies derived from those findings.
Develop and coordinate the application of climate security strategies that integrate climate policy seamlessly within the Department of State and across U.S. Embassies.
Develop and maintain relationships with other nations to address international climate security issues.
The Climate Security Envoy would also advise the President
of the complexities and dynamics of global security threats exacerbated by
climate. In addition, the bill would re-establish the Special Representative
for the Artic.
The bill comes at a time when the security risks of climate change are gaining national attention. The previous week, more than 50 former senior military and national security officials security officials, including former Secretary of State John Kerry and former Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel, penned a letter to the President emphasizing the need to include climate change in national security planning.
